Análisis Avaí vs Vila Nova
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
64.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.91
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21.3%
Empate
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
14.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.77
Goles esperados
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 jun. 2008 |
FOR
2 - 2
AVA
56%
23%
21%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 may. 2008 |
AVA
1 - 1
SAN
50%
26%
24%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 may. 2008 |
GRÊ
2 - 2
AVA
46%
26%
27%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 may. 2008 |
AVA
0 - 0
ABC
73%
18%
9%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 may. 2008 |
PAR
0 - 1
AVA
48%
27%
25%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
Partidos
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 jun. 2008 |
VIL
3 - 2
ARN
45%
25%
30%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 may. 2008 |
SAO
1 - 0
VIL
64%
22%
14%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | -1 |
| 21 may. 2008 |
VIL
2 - 1
CRB
39%
25%
36%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 may. 2008 |
VIL
1 - 0
CEA
34%
25%
41%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 may. 2008 |
ABC
3 - 2
VIL
40%
26%
34%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |