Análisis Aviación vs Arganda
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
14.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.77
Goles esperados
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.6%
21.8%
Empate
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
63.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.86
Goles esperados
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Aviación
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 ene. 2009 |
AVC
0 - 2
CDF
21%
24%
55%
|
11 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 ene. 2009 |
ARY
3 - 0
AVC
71%
18%
11%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 dic. 2008 |
ALC
4 - 0
AVC
77%
15%
8%
|
12 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 dic. 2008 |
AVC
1 - 1
GRI
24%
25%
52%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 nov. 2008 |
VAL
3 - 0
AVC
74%
16%
9%
|
12 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
Partidos
Arganda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 ene. 2009 |
ARG
1 - 0
VLL
76%
16%
9%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 ene. 2009 |
CDF
1 - 2
ARG
31%
25%
44%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 dic. 2008 |
COL
3 - 0
ARG
37%
26%
38%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | -2 |
| 14 dic. 2008 |
ARG
3 - 1
ALC
60%
21%
19%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 nov. 2008 |
GRI
0 - 2
ARG
27%
25%
48%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | +1 |