Análisis Jong AZ vs Excelsior
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
26.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.28
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.6%
22.9%
Empate
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
50.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.83
Goles esperados
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+7%
+3%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Jong AZ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 abr. 2021 |
RJC
0 - 1
ALK
67%
19%
15%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 abr. 2021 |
ALK
2 - 4
BVO
11%
18%
71%
|
50 | 76 | 26 | -1 |
| 16 abr. 2021 |
NEC
3 - 2
ALK
72%
18%
10%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 abr. 2021 |
ALK
4 - 0
FCD
57%
20%
23%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 abr. 2021 |
ALK
2 - 1
BOS
39%
23%
38%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
Partidos
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 abr. 2021 |
EXC
3 - 0
FCD
79%
13%
8%
|
61 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 abr. 2021 |
NAC
1 - 2
EXC
57%
23%
20%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 abr. 2021 |
TEL
1 - 1
EXC
41%
25%
34%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 abr. 2021 |
EXC
2 - 1
NEC
36%
24%
40%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 abr. 2021 |
BVO
7 - 2
EXC
76%
16%
9%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | -1 |