Análisis Jong AZ vs Excelsior
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
17.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.98
Goles esperados
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.4%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.5%
20.8%
Empate
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
61.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.03
Goles esperados
0-1
10%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.8%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+2%
+4%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Jong AZ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 nov. 2021 |
EIN
1 - 0
ALK
53%
23%
24%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 nov. 2021 |
ALK
0 - 0
FCE
18%
22%
60%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | +1 |
| 19 nov. 2021 |
RJC
2 - 2
ALK
67%
20%
13%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 nov. 2021 |
ALK
0 - 1
MVV
48%
23%
29%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 nov. 2021 |
PSV
2 - 0
ALK
48%
24%
28%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
Partidos
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 nov. 2021 |
EXC
2 - 1
JUT
76%
16%
8%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 nov. 2021 |
HEL
1 - 5
EXC
14%
20%
66%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | +1 |
| 14 nov. 2021 |
EXC
4 - 4
ALM
53%
22%
25%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 nov. 2021 |
TEL
2 - 5
EXC
23%
23%
53%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 oct. 2021 |
EXC
3 - 4
EIN
70%
18%
11%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |