Análisis AZ Alkmaar vs Ajax
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
43.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.46
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
25.8%
Empate
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
31%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.2
Goles esperados
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+5%
+4%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 dic. 1977 |
VOL
2 - 1
AZA
25%
27%
48%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 dic. 1977 |
HFC
0 - 3
AZA
28%
27%
45%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 dic. 1977 |
AZA
4 - 0
TEL
75%
16%
9%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | +1 |
| 27 nov. 1977 |
TWE
1 - 4
AZA
64%
21%
15%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 nov. 1977 |
AZA
2 - 1
GAE
71%
17%
12%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
Partidos
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 dic. 1977 |
AJA
1 - 1
HFC
85%
11%
5%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 dic. 1977 |
TWE
2 - 2
AJA
53%
24%
23%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 dic. 1977 |
AJA
1 - 4
PSV
55%
22%
24%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 nov. 1977 |
SPA
1 - 1
AJA
32%
27%
42%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 nov. 1977 |
AJA
3 - 2
ADO
78%
14%
8%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |