Análisis AZ Alkmaar vs Ajax
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
54.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
2
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
21.6%
Empate
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
23.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.27
Goles esperados
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+8%
+2%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 abr. 1981 |
SOC
1 - 1
AZA
31%
25%
44%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 abr. 1981 |
NEC
0 - 0
AZA
13%
21%
66%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 28 mar. 1981 |
AZA
1 - 0
ZWO
88%
8%
4%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 mar. 1981 |
LOK
1 - 0
AZA
31%
24%
45%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 mar. 1981 |
AZA
3 - 2
SPA
84%
11%
5%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | +1 |
Partidos
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 abr. 1981 |
AJA
2 - 0
ADO
89%
8%
3%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 abr. 1981 |
UTR
1 - 2
AJA
27%
24%
49%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 mar. 1981 |
GRO
0 - 1
AJA
15%
21%
63%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 15 mar. 1981 |
AJA
7 - 2
EXC
91%
7%
3%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 mar. 1981 |
PSV
3 - 1
AJA
46%
24%
30%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |