Análisis AZ Alkmaar vs Excelsior
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
65.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.81
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.6%
21.9%
Empate
0-0
8.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.9%
12.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.64
Goles esperados
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+5%
+4%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 oct. 1975 |
SPA
1 - 1
AZA
64%
21%
15%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 oct. 1975 |
AZA
1 - 1
AJA
22%
26%
52%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 sep. 1975 |
TEL
1 - 1
AZA
57%
23%
20%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 sep. 1975 |
AZA
1 - 2
TWE
26%
29%
45%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 sep. 1975 |
EIN
1 - 3
AZA
37%
28%
34%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
Partidos
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 oct. 1975 |
EXC
3 - 0
GRA
34%
25%
40%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 oct. 1975 |
PSV
6 - 0
EXC
89%
8%
3%
|
61 | 88 | 27 | 0 |
| 28 sep. 1975 |
EXC
1 - 2
RJC
38%
28%
34%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 sep. 1975 |
ADO
1 - 0
EXC
65%
22%
13%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 sep. 1975 |
NAC
0 - 0
EXC
73%
17%
9%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |