Análisis AZ Alkmaar vs Excelsior
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
81.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.74
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
8%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.3%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.8%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
12.5%
Empate
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.5%
6.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.64
Goles esperados
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+4%
+4%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 feb. 1980 |
SPA
3 - 3
AZA
29%
26%
45%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 ene. 1980 |
AZA
2 - 1
ADO
75%
16%
10%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 ene. 1980 |
AZA
5 - 1
MVV
80%
14%
7%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 ene. 1980 |
PSV
1 - 1
AZA
58%
22%
20%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 dic. 1979 |
ZWO
1 - 1
AZA
24%
22%
53%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
Partidos
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 feb. 1980 |
EXC
1 - 2
HFC
60%
22%
18%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 ene. 1980 |
GAE
0 - 2
EXC
67%
20%
13%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 ene. 1980 |
EXC
4 - 2
NAC
55%
24%
21%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 dic. 1979 |
AJA
6 - 0
EXC
88%
9%
4%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | -1 |
| 09 dic. 1979 |
WIL
3 - 1
EXC
48%
28%
24%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | -1 |