Análisis AZ Alkmaar vs Excelsior
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
82.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.82
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.3%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.8%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.2%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
11.9%
Empate
0-0
3.2%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.9%
5.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.63
Goles esperados
0-1
2%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+4%
+4%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 ago. 1980 |
AZA
2 - 0
PSV
43%
25%
32%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 ago. 1980 |
NAC
1 - 4
AZA
23%
25%
53%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 may. 1980 |
NEC
1 - 0
AZA
17%
24%
59%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 may. 1980 |
AZA
5 - 0
ZWO
85%
10%
5%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 abr. 1980 |
TWE
4 - 1
AZA
57%
22%
21%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
Partidos
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 ago. 1980 |
ADO
3 - 1
EXC
62%
22%
16%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 ago. 1980 |
EXC
3 - 2
GRO
62%
22%
16%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 may. 1980 |
EXC
2 - 2
AJA
18%
24%
58%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 may. 1980 |
EXC
1 - 2
WIL
62%
22%
16%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 abr. 1980 |
SPA
3 - 1
EXC
63%
22%
16%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | -1 |