Análisis AZ Alkmaar vs Excelsior
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
78.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.67
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
13.7%
Empate
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.7%
7.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.71
Goles esperados
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+7%
+5%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 nov. 2006 |
AZA
2 - 2
SLI
71%
18%
11%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 nov. 2006 |
SCH
1 - 3
AZA
31%
25%
44%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 nov. 2006 |
FEY
3 - 2
AZA
56%
22%
22%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 nov. 2006 |
AZA
5 - 0
HER
80%
13%
7%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 nov. 2006 |
AZA
10 - 1
MEE
97%
3%
1%
|
86 | 36 | 50 | 0 |
Partidos
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 nov. 2006 |
EXC
6 - 1
HER
55%
23%
21%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 nov. 2006 |
PSV
4 - 0
EXC
74%
17%
9%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 nov. 2006 |
EXC
1 - 1
NEC
54%
24%
22%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 nov. 2006 |
GAE
2 - 0
EXC
26%
24%
50%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | -1 |
| 04 nov. 2006 |
ADO
2 - 2
EXC
42%
26%
31%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |