Análisis AZ Alkmaar vs Excelsior
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
80.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.53
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
13.6%
Empate
0-0
4.5%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.6%
6.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.56
Goles esperados
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+5%
+4%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 ago. 2007 |
VIT
1 - 0
AZA
20%
22%
58%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 ago. 2007 |
AZA
4 - 0
VVV
78%
14%
7%
|
87 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 may. 2007 |
AJA
3 - 0
AZA
51%
23%
26%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 may. 2007 |
AZA
2 - 1
AJA
42%
24%
34%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 may. 2007 |
AZA
1 - 1
AJA
42%
24%
34%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
Partidos
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 ago. 2007 |
VVV
3 - 1
EXC
53%
25%
23%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 ago. 2007 |
EXC
0 - 2
TWE
31%
27%
42%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 abr. 2007 |
EXC
3 - 2
AZA
16%
20%
64%
|
65 | 87 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 abr. 2007 |
HER
3 - 2
EXC
53%
24%
23%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 abr. 2007 |
EXC
0 - 3
RKC
48%
24%
28%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |