Análisis AZ Alkmaar vs Utrecht
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
65.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.94
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
20.9%
Empate
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
13.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.75
Goles esperados
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+3%
+8%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 mar. 2010 |
AZA
3 - 2
HER
66%
20%
13%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 mar. 2010 |
SPA
0 - 1
AZA
17%
22%
61%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 mar. 2010 |
AZA
6 - 2
RKC
71%
20%
10%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 mar. 2010 |
AZA
4 - 1
SCH
54%
24%
22%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 feb. 2010 |
VIT
0 - 3
AZA
21%
24%
55%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
Partidos
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 mar. 2010 |
UTR
2 - 0
RKC
61%
23%
16%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 mar. 2010 |
WIL
0 - 3
UTR
38%
27%
35%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | +1 |
| 13 mar. 2010 |
VVV
0 - 1
UTR
47%
26%
27%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 mar. 2010 |
UTR
1 - 0
NEC
46%
27%
28%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 feb. 2010 |
AJA
4 - 0
UTR
79%
14%
7%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | -1 |