Análisis AZ Alkmaar vs Heracles
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
64.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.07
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
20.1%
Empate
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
15%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.88
Goles esperados
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+5%
-12%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 ago. 2012 |
AJA
2 - 2
AZA
62%
21%
17%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 ago. 2012 |
AZA
3 - 1
F95
65%
20%
15%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 ago. 2012 |
AZA
3 - 1
BVO
67%
19%
14%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 jul. 2012 |
AZA
1 - 2
MLL
48%
26%
27%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 may. 2012 |
AZA
1 - 0
GRO
68%
19%
13%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
Partidos
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 ago. 2012 |
HER
1 - 1
VVV
68%
19%
13%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 ago. 2012 |
HER
0 - 1
OSA
27%
26%
47%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 jul. 2012 |
HER
1 - 2
IST
63%
20%
17%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 may. 2012 |
HER
1 - 2
NEC
49%
25%
27%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 may. 2012 |
FEY
4 - 1
HER
58%
22%
20%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |