Análisis AZ Alkmaar vs Heracles
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
63.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.05
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
20.5%
Empate
0-0
5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
16.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.93
Goles esperados
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+5%
-10%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 mar. 2014 |
AZA
4 - 0
RKC
67%
20%
13%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 feb. 2014 |
AZA
1 - 1
SLI
49%
24%
27%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 feb. 2014 |
AJA
4 - 0
AZA
65%
20%
15%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 feb. 2014 |
SLI
0 - 1
AZA
47%
25%
28%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 feb. 2014 |
AZA
1 - 1
UTR
61%
22%
17%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
Partidos
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 feb. 2014 |
HER
1 - 2
SCH
32%
24%
45%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 feb. 2014 |
ZWO
1 - 1
HER
46%
25%
30%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 feb. 2014 |
PSV
2 - 1
HER
71%
17%
12%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 feb. 2014 |
HER
1 - 1
BVO
54%
24%
23%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 feb. 2014 |
ADO
0 - 3
HER
36%
25%
39%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | +1 |