Análisis AZ Alkmaar vs Heracles
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
55.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.86
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22.6%
Empate
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
22.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.1
Goles esperados
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+4%
-7%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 sep. 2015 |
AZA
6 - 1
VVV
71%
19%
10%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 sep. 2015 |
GRO
2 - 0
AZA
34%
25%
41%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 sep. 2015 |
PAR
3 - 2
AZA
51%
23%
27%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 sep. 2015 |
GRA
1 - 3
AZA
15%
22%
63%
|
81 | 61 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 ago. 2015 |
AZA
0 - 1
RJC
66%
20%
14%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
Partidos
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 sep. 2015 |
HER
4 - 1
VIT
31%
24%
46%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 sep. 2015 |
HER
2 - 1
PSV
18%
21%
61%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | +1 |
| 13 sep. 2015 |
ADO
0 - 1
HER
42%
25%
34%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 ago. 2015 |
HER
2 - 0
TWE
33%
26%
41%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 ago. 2015 |
BVO
1 - 6
HER
46%
25%
29%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |