Análisis AZ Alkmaar vs NAC Breda
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
47.6%
Probabilidad gana
1.69
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.9%
Empate
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
28.5%
Probabilidad gana
1.26
Goles esperados
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+5%
-9%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 abr. 2004 |
AZA
7 - 0
RKC
54%
23%
23%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 abr. 2004 |
GRO
1 - 1
AZA
29%
26%
46%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 abr. 2004 |
ZWO
2 - 0
AZA
27%
25%
48%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | -1 |
| 03 abr. 2004 |
AZA
2 - 1
VIT
56%
24%
21%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 mar. 2004 |
AZA
1 - 1
AJA
21%
24%
56%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
Partidos
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 abr. 2004 |
NAC
1 - 0
ADO
59%
23%
18%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 abr. 2004 |
VOL
4 - 2
NAC
24%
24%
52%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 abr. 2004 |
VIT
2 - 2
NAC
40%
26%
35%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 abr. 2004 |
NAC
0 - 3
FEY
21%
24%
55%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 mar. 2004 |
NAC
5 - 2
NEC
60%
23%
17%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | +1 |