Análisis AZ Alkmaar vs NAC Breda
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
71.8%
Probabilidad gana
2.29
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
17.4%
Empate
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
10.8%
Probabilidad gana
0.76
Goles esperados
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-11%
-7%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 ago. 2018 |
AZA
2 - 3
EXC
70%
18%
12%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 ago. 2018 |
AZA
2 - 1
KAI
60%
22%
19%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 jul. 2018 |
KAI
2 - 0
AZA
38%
23%
39%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 jul. 2018 |
ZUL
0 - 1
AZA
37%
23%
40%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 jul. 2018 |
AZA
2 - 0
PAN
63%
21%
16%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
Partidos
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 jul. 2018 |
NAC
1 - 2
KON
40%
26%
34%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 jul. 2018 |
NAC
1 - 4
EXC
48%
23%
29%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 jul. 2018 |
SHW
1 - 0
NAC
46%
23%
30%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 jul. 2018 |
NAC
1 - 3
SPA
56%
22%
23%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 jul. 2018 |
VIC
1 - 7
NAC
4%
9%
87%
|
68 | 8 | 60 | 0 |