Análisis AZ Alkmaar vs Willem II
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
76.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.06
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.5%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
17.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.5%
1-0
17.2%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.9%
17.3%
Empate
0-0
8.4%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
0
17.3%
6.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.42
Goles esperados
0-1
3.5%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+9%
-20%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 ago. 2009 |
SCH
0 - 2
AZA
41%
24%
35%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 ago. 2009 |
RKC
0 - 6
AZA
25%
24%
51%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 ago. 2009 |
AZA
2 - 0
SPA
69%
19%
11%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | +1 |
| 01 ago. 2009 |
HER
3 - 2
AZA
16%
22%
62%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | -1 |
| 25 jul. 2009 |
SCH
1 - 5
AZA
41%
22%
37%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
Partidos
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 ago. 2009 |
WIL
0 - 1
HER
52%
23%
24%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 ago. 2009 |
SPA
2 - 1
WIL
57%
24%
19%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 ago. 2009 |
UTR
1 - 0
WIL
63%
22%
15%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 ago. 2009 |
WIL
3 - 1
VIT
45%
25%
30%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 may. 2009 |
WIL
0 - 3
PSV
22%
25%
53%
|
72 | 89 | 17 | 0 |