Análisis AZ Alkmaar vs Willem II
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
80.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.4
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
+4
9.8%
3-0
13.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
16.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.4%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.8%
14%
Empate
0-0
5.7%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14%
5.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.47
Goles esperados
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+9%
-20%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 dic. 2012 |
UTR
2 - 1
AZA
36%
26%
38%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 nov. 2012 |
AZA
0 - 2
FEY
49%
24%
28%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 nov. 2012 |
GRO
1 - 1
AZA
26%
26%
48%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 nov. 2012 |
ADO
2 - 2
AZA
25%
26%
49%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 nov. 2012 |
AZA
1 - 2
VVV
80%
14%
6%
|
84 | 60 | 24 | -1 |
Partidos
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 dic. 2012 |
WIL
3 - 1
SCH
17%
21%
62%
|
59 | 78 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 nov. 2012 |
WIL
2 - 2
HER
21%
23%
57%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 nov. 2012 |
FEY
3 - 0
WIL
81%
14%
5%
|
59 | 82 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 nov. 2012 |
VVV
4 - 1
WIL
57%
22%
21%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 nov. 2012 |
WIL
1 - 5
UTR
29%
27%
44%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | -1 |