Tercera División - Play Offs Ascenso Cuartos
Global 2-2
Análisis CD Badajoz vs Mancha Real
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
57%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.8
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23%
Empate
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
20%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.97
Goles esperados
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
CD Badajoz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 may. 2010 |
MAN
2 - 1
CDB
28%
25%
47%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 may. 2010 |
VIL
1 - 2
CDB
10%
19%
72%
|
47 | 20 | 27 | 0 |
| 02 may. 2010 |
CDB
6 - 0
COR
83%
12%
5%
|
47 | 19 | 28 | 0 |
| 25 abr. 2010 |
CPL
0 - 1
CDB
25%
24%
51%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 abr. 2010 |
CDB
2 - 1
MER
49%
25%
26%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | +1 |
Partidos
Mancha Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 may. 2010 |
MAN
2 - 1
CDB
28%
25%
47%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 may. 2010 |
MAN
2 - 0
PAL
51%
24%
25%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 may. 2010 |
MOT
0 - 0
MAN
51%
24%
25%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 abr. 2010 |
MAN
3 - 0
VEL
58%
23%
19%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 abr. 2010 |
ALM
1 - 1
MAN
64%
20%
16%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | +1 |