Análisis Baden vs Aarau
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
35%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.08
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.1%
29.3%
Empate
0-0
11.4%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.3%
35.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.1
Goles esperados
0-1
12.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+8%
+12%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Baden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 may. 1992 |
BAD
2 - 1
BAS
33%
26%
41%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 abr. 1992 |
FCM
2 - 2
BAD
58%
23%
18%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 abr. 1992 |
LOC
0 - 0
BAD
67%
20%
13%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 abr. 1992 |
BAD
1 - 1
LOC
36%
27%
37%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 abr. 1992 |
BAD
0 - 0
FCM
48%
26%
26%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
Partidos
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 may. 1992 |
FCA
2 - 1
LUG
41%
28%
30%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 abr. 1992 |
BEL
2 - 3
FCA
49%
26%
25%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 abr. 1992 |
FCA
2 - 3
YVE
61%
23%
16%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 abr. 1992 |
YVE
1 - 1
FCA
50%
27%
23%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 abr. 1992 |
FCA
2 - 0
BEL
59%
23%
18%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | +1 |