Tercera Suiza Jor. 19

Análisis Baden vs Lugano II

Baden Lugano II
50 ELO 50
9.3% Tilt 13.5%
4544º Ranking ELO general 4059º
51º Ranking ELO país 43º
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
45.3%
Baden
23.3%
Empate
31.4%
Lugano II

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
45.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
Baden
1.74
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
23.3%
Empate
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
31.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
Lugano II
1.42
Goles esperados
0-1
6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →
Baden
+14%
+29%
Lugano II

Progresión del ELO

Baden
Lugano II
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

Baden
Baden
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 feb. 2025
BAD
Baden
2 - 2
Rotkreuz
RTK
69%
18%
14%
49 40 9 0
21 ene. 2025
BAD
Baden
2 - 2
Wohlen
WOH
59%
21%
21%
49 44 5 0
23 nov. 2024
YOU
Young Boys II
2 - 1
Baden
BAD
58%
21%
21%
50 54 4 -1
17 nov. 2024
BUL
Bulle
2 - 1
Baden
BAD
54%
22%
24%
50 55 5 0
09 nov. 2024
BAD
Baden
2 - 5
Vevey Sports
VEV
39%
25%
37%
51 54 3 -1

Partidos

Lugano II
Lugano II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 feb. 2025
KRI
SC Kriens
2 - 2
Lugano II
LUG
69%
19%
12%
50 61 11 0
18 ene. 2025
LUG
Lugano II
2 - 1
Servette II
SER
33%
23%
44%
50 51 1 0
30 nov. 2024
FCP
FC Paradiso
2 - 1
Lugano II
LUG
40%
27%
34%
50 51 1 0
16 nov. 2024
YOU
Young Boys II
3 - 0
Lugano II
LUG
53%
23%
24%
51 53 2 -1
09 nov. 2024
LUG
Lugano II
0 - 0
Bulle
BUL
33%
26%
42%
51 55 4 0