Análisis Bailén vs Atlético Jaén
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
83.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.81
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
5%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.5%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.1%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.6%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
11.4%
Empate
0-0
3.4%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.4%
5%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.56
Goles esperados
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Bailén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 feb. 2004 |
RJA
1 - 1
BAI
20%
22%
58%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 feb. 2004 |
BAI
5 - 0
VIL
84%
11%
5%
|
37 | 18 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 ene. 2004 |
VIL
0 - 2
BAI
16%
20%
64%
|
37 | 19 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 ene. 2004 |
BAI
4 - 0
MEN
82%
12%
6%
|
36 | 19 | 17 | +1 |
| 11 ene. 2004 |
LIN
0 - 3
BAI
34%
24%
42%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
Partidos
Atlético Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 feb. 2004 |
ATL
0 - 1
ILI
14%
21%
65%
|
19 | 40 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 feb. 2004 |
URG
2 - 1
ATL
70%
18%
12%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 ene. 2004 |
CDR
1 - 0
ATL
50%
24%
26%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 ene. 2004 |
ATL
1 - 2
RJA
35%
26%
40%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 ene. 2004 |
VIL
0 - 1
ATL
49%
24%
27%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |