Análisis Barcelona vs Espanyol
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
87.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.92
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.7%
5-0
6.4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.8%
4-0
11%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.8%
3-0
15.1%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.9%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18%
9.2%
Empate
0-0
3.6%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
9.2%
2.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.4
Goles esperados
0-1
1.4%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.4%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+2%
+5%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 may. 2011 |
FCB
1 - 1
RMA
61%
21%
19%
|
96 | 94 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 abr. 2011 |
RSO
2 - 1
FCB
6%
16%
78%
|
96 | 79 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 abr. 2011 |
RMA
0 - 2
FCB
50%
22%
28%
|
96 | 95 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 abr. 2011 |
FCB
2 - 0
OSA
89%
9%
3%
|
96 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 abr. 2011 |
FCB
0 - 1
RMA
61%
20%
20%
|
96 | 94 | 2 | 0 |
Partidos
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 may. 2011 |
ESP
2 - 1
ATH
40%
26%
34%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 abr. 2011 |
SPO
1 - 0
ESP
42%
27%
31%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 abr. 2011 |
ESP
2 - 2
ATM
35%
26%
39%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 abr. 2011 |
HER
0 - 0
ESP
44%
25%
30%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 abr. 2011 |
ESP
1 - 2
RAC
50%
26%
25%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |