Análisis Barcelona vs Real Madrid
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
67.2%
Probabilidad gana
2.45
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.2%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
17.7%
Empate
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
15.2%
Probabilidad gana
1.09
Goles esperados
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+4%
-2%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 mar. 1931 |
ALA
1 - 1
FCB
29%
23%
48%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 mar. 1931 |
FCB
5 - 3
RUN
74%
15%
11%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 mar. 1931 |
ESP
4 - 4
FCB
46%
22%
32%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 mar. 1931 |
FCB
2 - 0
ARE
77%
13%
10%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 mar. 1931 |
RAC
0 - 1
FCB
37%
23%
40%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
Partidos
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 mar. 1931 |
RMA
2 - 0
RSO
60%
21%
19%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 mar. 1931 |
ATH
2 - 4
RMA
73%
15%
12%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 mar. 1931 |
RMA
0 - 0
RAC
66%
17%
17%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 mar. 1931 |
ALA
2 - 0
RMA
37%
23%
40%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 mar. 1931 |
EUR
0 - 3
RMA
15%
16%
69%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |