Copa del Rey . Semifinal
Global 3-4
Análisis Barcelona vs Valencia
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
74%
Probabilidad gana
2.31
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
16.7%
Empate
0-0
5.1%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.7%
9.3%
Probabilidad gana
0.68
Goles esperados
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 feb. 2008 |
FCB
5 - 1
LEV
83%
13%
5%
|
95 | 81 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 feb. 2008 |
CEL
2 - 3
FCB
17%
24%
59%
|
95 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 feb. 2008 |
ZAR
1 - 2
FCB
27%
25%
48%
|
95 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 feb. 2008 |
SEV
1 - 1
FCB
42%
25%
33%
|
95 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 feb. 2008 |
FCB
1 - 0
OSA
77%
16%
8%
|
95 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
Partidos
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 feb. 2008 |
VCF
1 - 1
REC
63%
22%
15%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 feb. 2008 |
GET
0 - 0
VCF
40%
27%
33%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 feb. 2008 |
VCF
3 - 1
BET
63%
22%
15%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 feb. 2008 |
VAD
0 - 2
VCF
34%
28%
38%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 ene. 2008 |
ATM
3 - 2
VCF
50%
26%
24%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |