Análisis Barco vs Alerta Traviesas
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
82.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.77
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.2%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.7%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.2%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
11.9%
Empate
0-0
3.5%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.9%
5.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.59
Goles esperados
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Barco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 sep. 2011 |
BAR
2 - 2
NIG
48%
23%
29%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 ago. 2011 |
GRA
0 - 3
BAR
46%
24%
31%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 may. 2009 |
BAR
3 - 2
PON
53%
22%
25%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 may. 2009 |
CAS
3 - 3
BAR
62%
20%
19%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 may. 2009 |
BAR
1 - 4
RIB
45%
24%
31%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
Partidos
Alerta Traviesas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 sep. 2011 |
ALE
1 - 1
GRA
18%
22%
61%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 ago. 2011 |
TOM
4 - 1
ALE
73%
16%
11%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | 0 |