Análisis Barras vs Caiçara
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
59.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.98
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21.5%
Empate
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
19.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.04
Goles esperados
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Barras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 may. 2008 |
BAR
3 - 0
RIV
34%
25%
40%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 abr. 2008 |
RIV
2 - 0
BAR
63%
20%
17%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 abr. 2008 |
CAI
0 - 1
BAR
45%
25%
31%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 mar. 2008 |
BAR
2 - 2
PIC
47%
24%
29%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 mar. 2008 |
PIA
1 - 4
BAR
51%
24%
25%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
Partidos
Caiçara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 may. 2008 |
CAI
1 - 1
PIC
37%
25%
38%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 abr. 2008 |
PIC
4 - 1
CAI
52%
24%
25%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 abr. 2008 |
CAI
0 - 1
BAR
45%
25%
31%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 mar. 2008 |
RIV
0 - 0
CAI
65%
20%
16%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 mar. 2008 |
CAC
3 - 2
CAI
52%
24%
24%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |