Análisis CD Basconia vs Alegría
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
75.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.33
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
11%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
16.1%
Empate
0-0
5.2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.1%
8.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.62
Goles esperados
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+57%
+59%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
CD Basconia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 mar. 1999 |
ZAM
1 - 1
BAS
22%
26%
52%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 mar. 1999 |
BAS
1 - 0
CDT
63%
21%
16%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 feb. 1999 |
RSO
3 - 2
BAS
73%
17%
10%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 feb. 1999 |
BAS
0 - 2
HER
60%
23%
17%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | -2 |
| 14 feb. 1999 |
RUN
1 - 1
BAS
49%
26%
25%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
Partidos
Alegría
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 mar. 1999 |
ALE
0 - 3
ARE
35%
26%
39%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 mar. 1999 |
SDS
1 - 1
ALE
75%
16%
9%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 feb. 1999 |
ALE
2 - 0
SOD
38%
25%
38%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 feb. 1999 |
ALA
4 - 2
ALE
81%
13%
6%
|
18 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 feb. 1999 |
ALE
2 - 3
SNT
34%
28%
38%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | -1 |