Análisis CD Basconia vs Portugalete
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
53.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.74
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.7%
Empate
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
23.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.06
Goles esperados
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+81%
-10%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
CD Basconia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 sep. 2007 |
BAS
1 - 0
LAU
73%
17%
10%
|
45 | 29 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 sep. 2007 |
GER
0 - 2
BAS
34%
28%
38%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 sep. 2007 |
BAS
2 - 1
ZAM
72%
18%
9%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | +1 |
| 25 ago. 2007 |
LON
0 - 0
BAS
20%
25%
56%
|
44 | 29 | 15 | -1 |
| 26 may. 2007 |
ALA
1 - 3
BAS
32%
27%
41%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
Partidos
Portugalete
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 sep. 2007 |
POR
4 - 1
GER
44%
27%
29%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 sep. 2007 |
ZAM
1 - 0
POR
27%
26%
47%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | -2 |
| 02 sep. 2007 |
POR
1 - 0
LON
66%
21%
13%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 ago. 2007 |
ZAR
0 - 1
POR
11%
18%
71%
|
40 | 13 | 27 | 0 |
| 26 may. 2007 |
SFC
1 - 3
POR
20%
24%
56%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | 0 |