Análisis Basel vs Baden
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
77.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.57
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.5%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
14.4%
Empate
0-0
3.8%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.4%
8%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.71
Goles esperados
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+18%
+16%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 abr. 1998 |
BAD
3 - 1
BAS
32%
26%
42%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 abr. 1998 |
BAS
3 - 1
ETO
80%
13%
7%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 mar. 1998 |
LUG
0 - 0
BAS
50%
25%
25%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 mar. 1998 |
BAS
3 - 6
NEX
33%
25%
42%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 mar. 1998 |
YOB
2 - 2
BAS
56%
23%
21%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
Partidos
Baden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 abr. 1998 |
BAD
3 - 1
BAS
32%
26%
42%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 abr. 1998 |
BAD
1 - 2
LUG
37%
28%
36%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 mar. 1998 |
ETO
0 - 0
BAD
54%
23%
22%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 mar. 1998 |
BAD
0 - 1
SOL
58%
23%
19%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 mar. 1998 |
KRI
1 - 1
BAD
67%
20%
13%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |