Análisis Basel vs Benfica
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
40.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.59
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
24%
Empate
0-0
4.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
35.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.46
Goles esperados
0-1
6.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+19%
+16%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 oct. 2011 |
SCH
1 - 5
BAS
6%
15%
79%
|
85 | 47 | 38 | 0 |
| 01 oct. 2011 |
BAS
3 - 0
SER
80%
14%
6%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 sep. 2011 |
MUD
3 - 3
BAS
81%
13%
6%
|
85 | 96 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 sep. 2011 |
THU
1 - 1
BAS
25%
24%
52%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 sep. 2011 |
BAS
6 - 0
LAU
81%
13%
6%
|
85 | 64 | 21 | 0 |
Partidos
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 oct. 2011 |
SLB
4 - 1
PAÇ
78%
14%
8%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 sep. 2011 |
GAL
0 - 1
SLB
21%
24%
56%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 sep. 2011 |
FCP
2 - 2
SLB
46%
24%
30%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 sep. 2011 |
SLB
4 - 1
ACA
78%
15%
8%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 sep. 2011 |
SLB
1 - 1
MUD
24%
23%
53%
|
89 | 96 | 7 | -1 |