Análisis Basel vs Aarau
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
69.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.34
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
17.6%
Empate
0-0
4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
12.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.89
Goles esperados
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+18%
+5%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 jun. 1983 |
BAS
1 - 3
SER
47%
23%
30%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 jun. 1983 |
VEV
3 - 3
BAS
33%
26%
41%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 may. 1983 |
BAS
2 - 3
BEL
75%
15%
10%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 may. 1983 |
GCZ
1 - 0
BAS
60%
21%
19%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 may. 1983 |
BAS
0 - 4
NEX
55%
22%
23%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
Partidos
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 jun. 1983 |
NEX
4 - 1
FCA
72%
16%
13%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 jun. 1983 |
FCA
3 - 0
WIN
71%
18%
12%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | +1 |
| 28 may. 1983 |
ZUR
2 - 2
FCA
80%
12%
8%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 may. 1983 |
FCA
2 - 0
LAU
57%
23%
20%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 may. 1983 |
FCL
2 - 1
FCA
55%
23%
22%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | -1 |