Análisis Basel vs Aarau
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
54.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.82
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22.9%
Empate
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
22.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.08
Goles esperados
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+12%
+13%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 sep. 1987 |
YOB
1 - 1
BAS
67%
19%
15%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 sep. 1987 |
BAS
3 - 3
FCL
56%
22%
22%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 sep. 1987 |
BAS
5 - 4
ZUR
45%
24%
32%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 sep. 1987 |
SER
4 - 0
BAS
71%
17%
12%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 sep. 1987 |
BAS
2 - 1
STG
53%
23%
24%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
Partidos
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 sep. 1987 |
FCA
3 - 0
LAU
58%
21%
21%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 sep. 1987 |
NEX
1 - 1
FCA
68%
19%
13%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 sep. 1987 |
FCA
2 - 0
SIO
40%
25%
35%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 sep. 1987 |
BEL
2 - 2
FCA
45%
26%
29%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 sep. 1987 |
FCA
3 - 0
GCZ
36%
26%
38%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | +1 |