Análisis Basel vs Aarau
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
55.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.66
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24.4%
Empate
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
20.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.9
Goles esperados
0-1
7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+19%
+5%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 jun. 1995 |
SIO
1 - 2
BAS
52%
25%
23%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 may. 1995 |
BAS
1 - 2
NEX
54%
24%
22%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 may. 1995 |
GCZ
1 - 0
BAS
66%
20%
15%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 may. 1995 |
BAS
2 - 0
FCL
59%
22%
19%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 may. 1995 |
LAU
0 - 1
BAS
41%
26%
33%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
Partidos
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 jun. 1995 |
FCA
4 - 1
LAU
61%
22%
17%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 may. 1995 |
LUG
0 - 0
FCA
48%
27%
25%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 may. 1995 |
FCA
3 - 0
FCL
56%
24%
21%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 may. 1995 |
FCA
2 - 2
GCZ
38%
27%
35%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 may. 1995 |
NEX
3 - 0
FCA
46%
28%
27%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | -1 |