Análisis Basel vs Aarau
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probability of handicap
81.4%
Win probability
2.64
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.5%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.8%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
12.8%
Empate
0-0
4%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.8%
5.8%
Win probability
0.57
Goles esperados
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+19%
+1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 sep. 2006 |
FCL
2 - 0
BAS
15%
20%
65%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 sep. 2006 |
BAS
6 - 2
RAB
80%
13%
6%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | +1 |
| 10 sep. 2006 |
BAS
2 - 1
ZUR
50%
23%
27%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 ago. 2006 |
FCV
2 - 1
BAS
13%
18%
69%
|
85 | 58 | 27 | -1 |
| 20 ago. 2006 |
SIO
4 - 2
BAS
21%
23%
56%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
Partidos
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 sep. 2006 |
FCA
0 - 3
STG
32%
27%
41%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 sep. 2006 |
GCZ
3 - 1
FCA
72%
18%
10%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | -1 |
| 20 ago. 2006 |
FCA
0 - 1
YOB
20%
23%
57%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 ago. 2006 |
SCH
0 - 1
FCA
44%
27%
30%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 ago. 2006 |
FCL
2 - 1
FCA
47%
25%
28%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |