Análisis Basel vs Aarau
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
71.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.28
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
17.5%
Empate
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
11%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.77
Goles esperados
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+12%
+13%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 nov. 2008 |
NEX
2 - 0
BAS
24%
23%
53%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 nov. 2008 |
SHA
5 - 0
BAS
51%
23%
26%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 nov. 2008 |
THU
0 - 4
BAS
20%
23%
57%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | +1 |
| 16 nov. 2008 |
BAS
1 - 1
ZUR
50%
23%
26%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 nov. 2008 |
FCV
0 - 2
BAS
18%
22%
60%
|
84 | 63 | 21 | +1 |
Partidos
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 nov. 2008 |
FCA
1 - 1
YOB
23%
24%
53%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 nov. 2008 |
FCA
0 - 1
BEL
55%
24%
21%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 nov. 2008 |
FCL
3 - 0
FCA
41%
28%
31%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 nov. 2008 |
FCA
2 - 1
NEX
49%
26%
25%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 oct. 2008 |
ZUR
4 - 0
FCA
63%
22%
16%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | -1 |