Análisis Basel vs FC Lugano
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
79.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.67
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.1%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
13.6%
Empate
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.5%
7.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.7
Goles esperados
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+19%
-19%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 nov. 1979 |
ZUR
1 - 1
BAS
69%
18%
13%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 oct. 1979 |
BAS
1 - 1
STG
71%
18%
11%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 oct. 1979 |
NEX
0 - 1
BAS
39%
27%
34%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 oct. 1979 |
BAS
0 - 0
CSC
74%
16%
10%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 sep. 1979 |
LAU
0 - 3
BAS
47%
25%
27%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
Partidos
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 nov. 1979 |
LUG
0 - 0
LAC
59%
23%
19%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 oct. 1979 |
SIO
1 - 1
LUG
58%
23%
19%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 oct. 1979 |
LUG
1 - 4
FCL
45%
26%
29%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 oct. 1979 |
SER
8 - 0
LUG
82%
12%
7%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 sep. 1979 |
ZUR
5 - 1
LUG
85%
10%
6%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | -1 |