Análisis Basel vs FC Lugano
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
64.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.06
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
20.1%
Empate
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
15%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.88
Goles esperados
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+19%
-17%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 may. 1994 |
KRI
0 - 1
BAS
31%
26%
44%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 may. 1994 |
BAS
3 - 0
STG
52%
24%
24%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 may. 1994 |
ETO
1 - 1
BAS
23%
24%
53%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 abr. 1994 |
BAS
1 - 1
ZUR
68%
19%
13%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 abr. 1994 |
SCH
1 - 4
BAS
41%
26%
33%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
Partidos
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 may. 1994 |
LAU
0 - 2
LUG
51%
25%
24%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 may. 1994 |
LUG
1 - 0
SIO
34%
28%
38%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 may. 1994 |
FCA
4 - 3
LUG
53%
26%
21%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 abr. 1994 |
LUG
0 - 4
YOB
48%
26%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 abr. 1994 |
LUG
1 - 1
SER
38%
26%
36%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |