Análisis Basel vs FC Lugano
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
57.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.83
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.8%
Empate
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
19.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.96
Goles esperados
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+8%
-16%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 ago. 1995 |
ZUR
0 - 0
BAS
40%
27%
33%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 ago. 1995 |
BAS
2 - 0
FCL
57%
22%
20%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 jul. 1995 |
NEX
1 - 0
BAS
48%
26%
27%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 jul. 1995 |
YOB
1 - 4
BAS
46%
26%
28%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 jul. 1995 |
BAS
2 - 1
SIO
46%
25%
29%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Partidos
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 ago. 1995 |
JEU
0 - 0
LUG
24%
24%
53%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 ago. 1995 |
LUG
0 - 3
NEX
48%
26%
27%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 jul. 1995 |
YOB
3 - 1
LUG
45%
26%
30%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 jul. 1995 |
LUG
1 - 1
LAU
62%
22%
17%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 jul. 1995 |
STG
3 - 0
LUG
44%
27%
30%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | -1 |