Análisis Basel vs FC Lugano
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
67.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.15
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
19.1%
Empate
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
13.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.83
Goles esperados
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+20%
-15%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 nov. 1996 |
GCZ
4 - 2
BAS
75%
17%
9%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 oct. 1996 |
BAS
0 - 3
SIO
37%
26%
38%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 oct. 1996 |
SER
2 - 0
BAS
46%
26%
28%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 oct. 1996 |
BAS
2 - 2
STG
65%
20%
15%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 oct. 1996 |
BAS
1 - 1
YOB
74%
16%
9%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | -1 |
Partidos
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 nov. 1996 |
LUG
2 - 2
LAU
34%
27%
39%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 oct. 1996 |
ZUR
1 - 1
LUG
60%
23%
18%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 oct. 1996 |
LUG
0 - 1
FCA
37%
28%
35%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 oct. 1996 |
FCL
1 - 0
LUG
64%
21%
15%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 oct. 1996 |
SIO
1 - 0
LUG
69%
19%
12%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | -1 |