Análisis Basel vs FC Lugano
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
61.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.86
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.1%
Empate
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
16.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.85
Goles esperados
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+21%
-16%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 sep. 1999 |
FCA
1 - 3
BAS
41%
26%
33%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 ago. 1999 |
BAS
0 - 0
ZUR
43%
26%
32%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 ago. 1999 |
STG
1 - 1
BAS
45%
26%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 ago. 1999 |
LAU
1 - 0
BAS
66%
20%
14%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 ago. 1999 |
BAS
2 - 0
FCL
61%
22%
17%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
Partidos
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 sep. 1999 |
DEL
1 - 0
LUG
46%
26%
29%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 ago. 1999 |
LUG
4 - 1
FCA
52%
25%
24%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 ago. 1999 |
STG
2 - 1
LUG
53%
26%
22%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 ago. 1999 |
LUG
1 - 1
ZUR
32%
27%
41%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 ago. 1999 |
GCZ
2 - 1
LUG
81%
12%
7%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | -1 |