Liga Suiza Playoff Título Jor. 4

Análisis Basel vs FC Lugano

Basel FC Lugano
80 ELO 79
14.5% Tilt -2.6%
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
55%
Basel
22.7%
Empate
22.3%
FC Lugano

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
55%
Probabilidad de victoria
Basel
1.85
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22.7%
Empate
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
22.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
FC Lugano
1.1
Goles esperados
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →
Basel
+16%
-13%
FC Lugano

Progresión del ELO

Basel
FC Lugano
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

Basel
Basel
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 mar. 2001
BAS
Basel
0 - 0
Lausanne Sports
LAU
45%
24%
32%
79 84 5 0
11 mar. 2001
GCZ
Grasshopper
0 - 0
Basel
BAS
68%
18%
14%
79 83 4 0
25 feb. 2001
SER
Servette
3 - 0
Basel
BAS
51%
24%
25%
80 80 0 -1
10 dic. 2000
BAS
Basel
2 - 3
Lausanne Sports
LAU
42%
24%
34%
79 83 4 +1
03 dic. 2000
ZUR
Zurich
2 - 0
Basel
BAS
47%
25%
28%
79 79 0 0

Partidos

FC Lugano
FC Lugano
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 mar. 2001
LUG
FC Lugano
0 - 1
Zurich
ZUR
45%
27%
29%
80 81 1 0
03 mar. 2001
STG
St. Gallen
3 - 2
FC Lugano
LUG
56%
24%
21%
80 83 3 0
25 feb. 2001
LUG
FC Lugano
1 - 1
Sion
SIO
49%
25%
26%
80 77 3 0
10 dic. 2000
FCL
Luzern
1 - 1
FC Lugano
LUG
30%
27%
43%
79 67 12 +1
03 dic. 2000
LUG
FC Lugano
1 - 0
Servette
SER
46%
26%
29%
79 79 0 0