Análisis Basel vs FC Lugano
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
71.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.21
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
17.7%
Empate
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
10.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.7
Goles esperados
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+20%
-15%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 ago. 2016 |
RAP
0 - 1
BAS
6%
13%
81%
|
85 | 56 | 29 | 0 |
| 10 ago. 2016 |
BAS
3 - 0
YOB
52%
24%
25%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 ago. 2016 |
FCL
2 - 3
BAS
30%
23%
47%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 jul. 2016 |
FCV
1 - 5
BAS
19%
21%
60%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 jul. 2016 |
BAS
3 - 0
SIO
62%
21%
17%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
Partidos
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 ago. 2016 |
MOU
0 - 3
LUG
5%
12%
82%
|
73 | 30 | 43 | 0 |
| 10 ago. 2016 |
LUG
3 - 1
SIO
34%
27%
40%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 ago. 2016 |
LUG
0 - 2
FCV
42%
26%
33%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 jul. 2016 |
YOB
1 - 2
LUG
78%
14%
8%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 jul. 2016 |
LUG
1 - 2
FCL
25%
23%
52%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |