Análisis Basel vs FC Lugano
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
68.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.13
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19.1%
Empate
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
12.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.79
Goles esperados
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+10%
-18%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 ene. 2017 |
BAS
1 - 0
ESB
67%
20%
13%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 ene. 2017 |
BAS
2 - 0
CHI
82%
13%
5%
|
84 | 56 | 28 | 0 |
| 19 ene. 2017 |
LOK
1 - 2
BAS
35%
25%
39%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 ene. 2017 |
BAS
1 - 2
STP
69%
19%
12%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 ene. 2017 |
BAS
2 - 1
LEM
80%
14%
6%
|
84 | 57 | 27 | 0 |
Partidos
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 ene. 2017 |
WIL
2 - 4
LUG
24%
22%
54%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 ene. 2017 |
LUG
0 - 2
NEX
49%
23%
28%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 ene. 2017 |
LUG
5 - 0
YAN
62%
21%
17%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 ene. 2017 |
LUG
1 - 2
KAI
45%
24%
31%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 ene. 2017 |
LUG
0 - 0
CHI
75%
17%
8%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | 0 |