Análisis Basel vs FC Lugano
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
70.4%
Probabilidad gana
2.21
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
18.1%
Empate
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
11.5%
Probabilidad gana
0.76
Goles esperados
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-3%
+11%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 ene. 2018 |
BAS
1 - 0
FCL
66%
20%
15%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 ene. 2018 |
BAS
1 - 0
WIN
85%
11%
4%
|
84 | 51 | 33 | 0 |
| 20 ene. 2018 |
BAS
2 - 4
STR
61%
21%
18%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 ene. 2018 |
BAS
1 - 2
VKP
55%
23%
22%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 ene. 2018 |
BAS
1 - 1
TIA
71%
18%
11%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
Partidos
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 ene. 2018 |
LUG
4 - 0
WIL
79%
15%
7%
|
74 | 50 | 24 | 0 |
| 17 ene. 2018 |
PES
3 - 1
LUG
35%
23%
42%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 ene. 2018 |
LUG
5 - 1
CHI
73%
17%
9%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 dic. 2017 |
THU
0 - 2
LUG
46%
25%
30%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 dic. 2017 |
LUG
1 - 2
LAU
51%
24%
25%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | -1 |