Análisis Basel vs FC Lugano
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
67.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.18
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
18.9%
Empate
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
13.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.87
Goles esperados
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+19%
-13%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 oct. 2018 |
WIN
0 - 1
BAS
11%
18%
71%
|
84 | 60 | 24 | 0 |
| 27 oct. 2018 |
GCZ
1 - 3
BAS
18%
22%
60%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 oct. 2018 |
BAS
1 - 1
NEX
68%
19%
13%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 oct. 2018 |
STG
1 - 3
BAS
20%
22%
57%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 sep. 2018 |
LUG
2 - 2
BAS
20%
23%
57%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
Partidos
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 oct. 2018 |
LUG
3 - 1
NEX
45%
24%
31%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 oct. 2018 |
LUG
2 - 1
THU
35%
25%
40%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 oct. 2018 |
LUG
3 - 1
STG
46%
25%
29%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 oct. 2018 |
GCZ
2 - 1
LUG
36%
27%
37%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 sep. 2018 |
LUG
2 - 2
BAS
20%
23%
57%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | +2 |