Análisis Basel vs FC Lugano
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
73.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.28
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
16.9%
Empate
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
9.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.67
Goles esperados
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+19%
-17%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 jul. 2020 |
STG
0 - 5
BAS
25%
22%
53%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 jul. 2020 |
SER
2 - 2
BAS
20%
22%
58%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 jul. 2020 |
BAS
4 - 0
ZUR
65%
20%
15%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 jul. 2020 |
BAS
3 - 2
YOB
39%
24%
37%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 jul. 2020 |
SIO
1 - 0
BAS
9%
17%
74%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | -1 |
Partidos
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 jul. 2020 |
LUG
1 - 0
ZUR
31%
26%
43%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 jul. 2020 |
SIO
1 - 1
LUG
35%
26%
39%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 jul. 2020 |
LUG
1 - 1
THU
41%
26%
33%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 jul. 2020 |
FCL
3 - 3
LUG
49%
25%
27%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 jul. 2020 |
LUG
3 - 3
STG
27%
25%
48%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |