Liga Suiza Jor. 11

Análisis Basel vs Luzern

Basel Luzern
84 ELO 78
5.7% Tilt 29.7%
165º Ranking ELO general 507º
Ranking ELO país
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
59.7%
Basel
21.4%
Empate
19%
Luzern

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
59.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
Basel
1.98
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21.4%
Empate
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
19%
Probabilidad de victoria
Luzern
1.02
Goles esperados
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →
Basel
+10%
-5%
Luzern

Progresión del ELO

Basel
Luzern
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

Basel
Basel
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 oct. 2016
BAS
Basel
1 - 1
Thun
THU
70%
19%
11%
84 76 8 0
28 sep. 2016
ARS
Arsenal
2 - 0
Basel
BAS
64%
20%
16%
85 91 6 -1
24 sep. 2016
STG
St. Gallen
1 - 3
Basel
BAS
18%
21%
61%
84 72 12 +1
21 sep. 2016
LAU
Lausanne Sports
1 - 2
Basel
BAS
16%
21%
63%
84 71 13 0
18 sep. 2016
ZUG
Zug 94
0 - 1
Basel
BAS
3%
9%
88%
84 37 47 0

Partidos

Luzern
Luzern
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 oct. 2016
FCU
Union Berlin
1 - 0
Luzern
FCL
33%
24%
43%
79 74 5 0
02 oct. 2016
GCZ
Grasshopper
3 - 2
Luzern
FCL
37%
25%
38%
80 77 3 -1
24 sep. 2016
FCL
Luzern
1 - 3
Lausanne Sports
LAU
61%
20%
19%
80 71 9 0
21 sep. 2016
FCL
Luzern
2 - 2
Sion
SIO
49%
24%
27%
80 80 0 0
17 sep. 2016
TEA
Team Ticino U21
0 - 3
Luzern
FCL
2%
5%
93%
80 28 52 0