Análisis Basel vs Thun
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
77.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.7
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.1%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
14%
Empate
0-0
3%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
14%
8.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.8
Goles esperados
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+16%
+8%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 nov. 2002 |
FCL
1 - 1
BAS
20%
22%
58%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 nov. 2002 |
BAS
3 - 3
LIV
24%
23%
54%
|
86 | 92 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 nov. 2002 |
SPA
0 - 2
BAS
47%
24%
29%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 nov. 2002 |
BAS
5 - 3
ZUR
73%
17%
11%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 oct. 2002 |
SER
0 - 1
BAS
42%
25%
34%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
Partidos
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 nov. 2002 |
THU
2 - 2
GCZ
21%
21%
58%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 nov. 2002 |
CSC
0 - 1
THU
34%
24%
42%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 nov. 2002 |
THU
1 - 0
SER
29%
24%
47%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 oct. 2002 |
FCL
1 - 2
THU
43%
25%
32%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 oct. 2002 |
THU
0 - 0
ZUR
42%
26%
32%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |